About the Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets are hot, having won 9 of 10 to take over the top of the Northwest Division standings heading down the stretch. However, the Nuggets have benefited from a relatively easy schedule lately and only two of those wins were really impressive (@New Orleans Hornets and @Dallas Mavericks).
Carmelo Anthony continues to shoulder the load for the Nuggets and has scored at least 29 points in 5 straight games. Chauncey Billups struggled against the Jazz in Salt Lake earlier this month scoring only 12 points on 17 shots with just 2 assists. Wild-card players that could kill the Jazz are Linas Kleiza (41 points against Utah in a game last season) and J.R. Smith.
About the Utah Jazz
If the Jazz want to win the Northwest Division, this is a near must-win game. The Jazz usually seem to come back well after embarrassing losses such as the Portland game so I expect them to have a shot in this one. Denver has a good home record (29-8) but the Jazz never seem to intimidated by the atmosphere in Denver, in fact they have won 4 of their last six in the mile-high city.
Block Party?
One concerning stat is that the Nuggets are second in the NBA with 5.9 blocks per game. The Jazz (Carlos Boozer in particular) struggle against teams that block shots. Utah is just 11-12 (.478) in games versus teams in the top ten teams in blocks. Conversley, the Jazz are 35-16 (.686) against the rest of the league. Including the Nuggets game, five of the Jazz final eight opponents are among the top ten in blocks (@Denver, @Dallas, Golden State, L.A. Clippers, @L.A. Lakers).
Prediction
JAZZ WIN.
I predicted that the Jazz would lose in Portland but I really think they have a shot in Denver. Don’t let the blowout in Portland fool you, the Jazz are still plenty capable and this will be the game they finally win against a Western Conference power on the road. If nothing else, a win will certainly make the division race interesting with Denver set to play at Portland on the final day of the regular season.
Interesting Note
I hadn’t heard about this but in the Denver vs. Golden State game last Saturday, Jamal Crawford of the Warriors converted two four-point plays…. and they were back to back!
History made before our very eyes
I mentioned in my game recap that Jamal Crawford made back to back four point plays in the third quarter and I wondered if anyone in the history of the NBA had ever done that before. Well, I fired off an email to Kevin Arnovitz of ESPN and ClipperBlog and Henry Abbott of TrueHoop. Kevin then forwarded me some data he received from Elias. Elias only found three other players in the last ten years who even scored two in a game and none were back to back. Here is the complete list:
- 11/12/2003 Tracy McGrady, ORL 97 vs MEM 107 - 3rd, 7:02, 4th, 2:30
- 03/17/2007 Gilbert Arenas, WAS 125 vs NOK 103 - 3rd, 1:05, 4th, 9:12
- 12/14/2007 Mike Miller, MEM 91 vs LAC 98 - 3rd, 7:02, 4th, 2:30
- 03/28/2009 Jamal Crawford, GS 116 at DEN 129 - 4th, 9:26, 9:14
It is certainly possible someone has hit back to back four point plays before, but I bet Crawford was the first to do it.
[Source:Roundball Mining Company]
Andrei Kirilenko’s four-point play was that same night (and the only four-point play by the Jazz this season).
One Big Happy Family
Jazz fans are always curious of the off-the-court friendships of the players, so hear is an interesting bit of info:
There was one comment asking about behind-the-scenes problems with the Jazz. From what I can tell – - remember my access is limited – - I have seen nothing to suggest that. Even the guys who seldom play seem to understand and accept their roles.
If anything, the Jazz might be too close. I think four players – - Deron Williams, Kyle Korver, Mehmet Okur and Andrei Kirilenko – - went on vacation together to Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, over the All-Star break. That says everything.
[Source: The Salt Lake Tribune Jazz Blog]
I have always been curious how Deron Williams and Andrei Kirilenko got along since the summer of 2007 when AK wanted out from the Jazz and D-Will had some tough words for him on the radio. But if they’re spring-breaking in Mexico together then everything sounds fine.
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April 8, 2009
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